Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: By-law changes and enforcement
All topics →- 14 January 2027 – 15 November 2030The Muzzo Group of CompaniesSM37512 · approved 26 March 2026
- 2 March 2027 – 24 October 2030Intelligent InstrumentsSM37727 · approved 17 June 2026
- 10 March 2027 – 8 August 2030Sorama B.V.SM37771 · approved 15 July 2026
- 22 March 2027 – 20 August 2030Canadian Federation of Independent BusinessSM37814 · approved 27 July 2026
- 2 July 2027 – 16 August 2030Insurance Bureau of CanadaSM27688 · approved 20 February 2019
- 20 August 2027 – 10 June 2030Residential Construction Council of OntarioSM26193 · approved 11 May 2018
- 14 September 2027 – 4 December 2031UniforSM36606 · approved 2 May 2025
- 9 November 2027 – 15 September 2031Triple M MetalSM35210 · approved 15 January 2024
- 10 November 2027 – 17 June 203111740903 Canada Inc.SM34489 · approved 15 May 2023
Data table· 9 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37512 33 Yorkville - Noise Bylaw | The Muzzo Group of Companies | By-law changes and enforcement | 26 March 2026 | 14 January 2027 to 15 November 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=11) |
| SM37727 sound level or noise monitoring equipment | Intelligent Instruments | By-law changes and enforcement | 17 June 2026 | 2 March 2027 to 24 October 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=12) |
| SM37771 Sorama develops specialized Loud Vehicle Detection (LVD) systems to help cities enforce vehicle noise regulations. These AI-powered acoustic cameras continuously monitor traffic, isolating the exact sound of excessive no | Sorama B.V. | By-law changes and enforcement | 15 July 2026 | 10 March 2027 to 8 August 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=13) |
| SM37814 Red tape reduction measures including but not limited to, a red tape reduction commissioner, a count of all bylaws, licenses and regulations to identify unnecessary or duplicative requirements and the creation of a perma | Canadian Federation of Independent Business | By-law changes and enforcement | 27 July 2026 | 22 March 2027 to 20 August 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=13) |
| SM27688 Service provider by-law enforcement related to motor vehicles towing, storage and garage related billings to insurance industry | Insurance Bureau of Canada | By-law changes and enforcement | 20 February 2019 | 2 July 2027 to 16 August 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=84) |
| SM26193 New Regulations for Construction Dust in Toronto. | Residential Construction Council of Ontario | By-law changes and enforcement | 11 May 2018 | 20 August 2027 to 10 June 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=62) |
| SM36606 Development of a proposed bylaw related to the implementation of ‘bubble zones’ that may restrict demonstrations, protests and other activities. | Unifor | By-law changes and enforcement | 2 May 2025 | 14 September 2027 to 4 December 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=478) |
| SM35210 Raise company profile and review regulations related to Second Hand Salvage Yards. | Triple M Metal | By-law changes and enforcement | 15 January 2024 | 9 November 2027 to 15 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=319) |
| SM34489 Provide training to Corporate Security in guard safety and enforcement services. | 11740903 Canada Inc. | By-law changes and enforcement | 15 May 2023 | 10 November 2027 to 17 June 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=269) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.