Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Plans of subdivision and condominium
All topics →- 19 April 2027 – 17 October 2028Deltera Inc.SM19650 · approved 9 September 2013
- 29 April 2027 – 27 October 2028Deltera Inc.SM19665 · approved 19 September 2013
- 12 May 2027 – 29 June 2031Altree Developments Inc.SM37321 · approved 13 January 2026
- 3 June 2027 – 18 September 2030Tribute CommunitiesSM24015 · approved 8 February 2017
- 7 June 2027 – 11 September 2030Mondiale Development LTD.SM24110 · approved 27 February 2017
- 26 June 2027 – 10 October 2030Graywood Developments Ltd.SM24303 · approved 29 March 2017
- 5 July 2027 – 27 September 2030Tribute CommunitiesSM30364 · approved 22 July 2020
- 2 August 2027 – 16 August 2030Minto Communities Inc.SM30022 · approved 4 May 2020
- 8 August 2027 – 7 October 2030Mattamy Homes LimitedSM30687 · approved 9 October 2020
- 13 August 2027 – 19 June 203010287687 Canada lnc.SM26258 · approved 24 May 2018
- 15 August 2027 – 11 November 2030Alterra Developments 2000 LimitedSM27484 · approved 31 January 2019
- 15 August 2027 – 11 November 2030Alterra Developments 2000 LimitedSM27487 · approved 31 January 2019
12 of 34 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 34 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM19650 Zoning, subdivision, condominium and site plan approvals for Alexandra Park (TCHC) Revitaliztion. Property West of Spadina Rd, south of Dundas St, North of Queen St. | Deltera Inc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 9 September 2013 | 19 April 2027 to 17 October 2028 from all topics' lead times (n=14) |
| SM19665 Subdivision Plan, Zoning Bylaw, Affordable Rental, Commercial and Condominium Plans for 261 Queens Quay | Deltera Inc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 19 September 2013 | 29 April 2027 to 27 October 2028 from all topics' lead times (n=14) |
| SM37321 412 – 414 Marlee Avenue & 281 – 287 Hillmount Avenue | Altree Developments Inc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 13 January 2026 | 12 May 2027 to 29 June 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=662) |
| SM24015 2135 Sheppard Avenue East | Tribute Communities | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 8 February 2017 | 3 June 2027 to 18 September 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=40) |
| SM24110 The planning and development process as it relates to a condominium development at 3260 Sheppard Ave. East | Mondiale Development LTD. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 27 February 2017 | 7 June 2027 to 11 September 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=42) |
| SM24303 Subdivision development located at 1030 and 1040 Islington Avenue | Graywood Developments Ltd. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 29 March 2017 | 26 June 2027 to 10 October 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=43) |
| SM30364 To permit a residential condominium development with ancillary retail commercial uses and 2 daycare centres at 1325 -1469 The Queensway. | Tribute Communities | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 22 July 2020 | 5 July 2027 to 27 September 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=132) |
| SM30022 Redevelopment of 9-25 Dawes Road | Minto Communities Inc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 4 May 2020 | 2 August 2027 to 16 August 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=123) |
| SM30687 1660 Bloor Street West | Mattamy Homes Limited | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 9 October 2020 | 8 August 2027 to 7 October 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=140) |
| SM26258 proposal for removal of a house and development approvals for two semi detached dwelling units at 1563 Bathurst St. | 10287687 Canada lnc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 24 May 2018 | 13 August 2027 to 19 June 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=63) |
| SM27484 Pursuing development approvals and building permits for 159 Wellesley East | Alterra Developments 2000 Limited | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 31 January 2019 | 15 August 2027 to 11 November 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=79) |
| SM27487 Pursuing development approvals and building permits for 520 Richmond Street West. | Alterra Developments 2000 Limited | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 31 January 2019 | 15 August 2027 to 11 November 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=79) |
| SM25316 Proposed Condominium development at 767 Yonge Street | Brookfield Office Properties Management LP | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 16 November 2017 | 18 August 2027 to 14 February 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=52) |
| SM26233 Assisting with the development of 50 Humberwood Boulevard. | Tribute Communities | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 17 May 2018 | 26 August 2027 to 16 June 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=62) |
| SM36163 25 - 63 Glendora Avenue, 48 - 60 Avondale Avenue, 17 and 19 Bales Avenue | Mattamy Homes Limited | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 2 December 2024 | 30 August 2027 to 26 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=423) |
| SM36872 1001-1037 The Queensway. Building Permit and Condominium Registration. | RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 13 August 2025 | 2 September 2027 to 22 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=517) |
| SM36511 Scarborough Centre - 1966-1980 Eglinton Ave East. Site Plan Approval, Lift of Hold and Draft Plan of Subdivision. | RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 8 April 2025 | 20 September 2027 to 1 December 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=468) |
| SM31139 38 Widmer Street, Toronto | Concord Adex | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 19 January 2021 | 22 September 2027 to 2 November 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=152) |
| SM20213 A proposed condominium development of the property municipally known as 316 Bloor Street West, Toronto. | State Building Group | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 26 March 2014 | 7 October 2027 to 21 April 2029 from all topics' lead times (n=15) |
| SM20214 A proposed condominium development of the property municipally known as 400 Front Street West, Toronto. | State Building Group | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 26 March 2014 | 7 October 2027 to 21 April 2029 from all topics' lead times (n=15) |
| SM35305 Development applications for 1880 Eglinton Avenue E | Choice Properties | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 8 February 2024 | 16 November 2027 to 4 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=325) |
| SM35014 1 Audley Street & 8 Newcastle Street | Minto Communities Inc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 13 November 2023 | 20 November 2027 to 19 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=303) |
| SM34991 Planning new housing at 2771 Victoria Park and Huntingwood Blvd | Profile Developments Inc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 6 November 2023 | 24 November 2027 to 12 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=301) |
| SM20434 Shops at Don Mills - 169 The Donway West - Post Office | The Cadillac Fairview Corporation Limited | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 20 May 2014 | 1 December 2027 to 15 June 2029 from all topics' lead times (n=15) |
| SM35204 Possibly contacting members of council at various times. Municipal Address of the property: 1103-1111 Kingston Road. | Gwillimbury Investments Limited | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 10 January 2024 | 9 December 2027 to 19 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=315) |
| SM35124 2175 Keele Street Housing Options | Diamondcorp | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 8 December 2023 | 9 December 2027 to 12 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=304) |
| SM32861 60 Queen Street East | Deltera Inc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 26 January 2022 | 30 December 2027 to 15 March 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=192) |
| SM33049 1891 Eglinton Avenue East, Toronto | Mattamy Homes Limited | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 11 March 2022 | 1 January 2028 to 18 April 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=197) |
| SM22752 Block 13 - 113, 115, 117 McMahon Drive Site Plan Issues | Concord Adex | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 3 February 2016 | 1 January 2028 to 3 May 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=26) |
| SM22755 1001 Sheppard Avenue East - All Parks and Roads of Plan 66M2518 | Concord Adex | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 3 February 2016 | 1 January 2028 to 3 May 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=26) |
| SM33123 7 St. Dennis Drive and 10 Grenoble Drive | OSMINGTON GEROFSKY DEVELOPMENT CORP | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 30 March 2022 | 2 January 2028 to 2 May 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=200) |
| SM33161 Proposed residential developments at 7 St. Dennis Drive and 10 Grenoble Drive | W. J. Holdings Limited | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 19 April 2022 | 11 January 2028 to 16 April 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=203) |
| SM22754 Blocks 10, 20, 9 & 18 of Plan 66M2518 Located: S/E corner of Sheppard Avenue East & Bessarion Road. North of 401. | Concord Adex | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 24 February 2016 | 22 January 2028 to 24 May 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=26) |
| SM33507 Ongoing development of a purpose built residential development located at 6 Dawes Road | Fitzrovia Residential Inc. | Plans of subdivision and condominium | 5 August 2022 | 1 April 2028 to 30 May 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=213) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.