Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: TTC operations and service
All topics →- 15 March 2027 – 27 January 2031TransSeeSM37475 · approved 10 March 2026
- 1 April 2027 – 14 April 2031Ontario Society of Professional EngineersSM37384 · approved 5 February 2026
- 3 July 2027 – 22 August 20313M Canada CompanySM37173 · approved 19 November 2025
- 26 August 2027 – 9 October 2031Pattison Outdoor AdvertisingSM37020 · approved 6 October 2025
- 26 August 2027 – 22 September 2031Canadian Union of Public EmployeesSM36114 · approved 28 November 2024
- 1 September 2027 – 31 October 2031Transdev Canada Inc.SM36947 · approved 10 September 2025
- 3 September 2027 – 31 October 2031GHD Inc.SM36798 · approved 17 July 2025
- 4 September 2027 – 7 November 2031Sherwood ElectromotionSM36672 · approved 4 June 2025
- 20 September 2027 – 17 October 2030AdtrackmediaSM31295 · approved 19 February 2021
- 8 October 2027 – 16 July 2031UniforSM34700 · approved 9 August 2023
- 15 November 2027 – 18 September 2031Paul ChristieSM35242 · approved 22 January 2024
Data table· 11 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37475 Providing or generating real-time transit data. | TransSee | TTC operations and service | 10 March 2026 | 15 March 2027 to 27 January 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=744) |
| SM37384 Advocacy related to improving operational performance, reliability, and service delivery of LRT and streetcar operations, including the Finch West LRT (TTC Line 6), through policy, program, and performance management imp | Ontario Society of Professional Engineers | TTC operations and service | 5 February 2026 | 1 April 2027 to 14 April 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=691) |
| SM37173 To discuss and promote 3M technology to be used in MRO applications enhance worker safety and large format graphics related to SM16528. | 3M Canada Company | TTC operations and service | 19 November 2025 | 3 July 2027 to 22 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=602) |
| SM37020 Work with Pattison Outdoor Advertising on the existing contracts with TTC to maximize non-fare revenue by determining the appropriate model and method available to deliver this service. | Pattison Outdoor Advertising | TTC operations and service | 6 October 2025 | 26 August 2027 to 9 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=559) |
| SM36114 Lobbying for reintroduction of the TTC U-Pass program. | Canadian Union of Public Employees | TTC operations and service | 28 November 2024 | 26 August 2027 to 22 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=423) |
| SM36947 To discuss the services offered by Transdev Canada Inc. | Transdev Canada Inc. | TTC operations and service | 10 September 2025 | 1 September 2027 to 31 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=539) |
| SM36798 Discuss City's Transit Plans | GHD Inc. | TTC operations and service | 17 July 2025 | 3 September 2027 to 31 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=509) |
| SM36672 Canadian-content in transit vehicle procurement | Sherwood Electromotion | TTC operations and service | 4 June 2025 | 4 September 2027 to 7 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=492) |
| SM31295 Source of new income from media estate for TTC | Adtrackmedia | TTC operations and service | 19 February 2021 | 20 September 2027 to 17 October 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=161) |
| SM34700 Procurement of new Canada-made transit vehicles. | Unifor | TTC operations and service | 9 August 2023 | 8 October 2027 to 16 July 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=285) |
| SM35242 Will encourage TTC to include Canadian content requirements in its RFP for new subway cars and well as to provide incentives for local manufacturing content and diversity in the workforce. | Paul Christie | TTC operations and service | 22 January 2024 | 15 November 2027 to 18 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=321) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.