Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Traffic safety and enforcement cameras
All topics →- 6 January 2027 – 5 January 2030SmartCentres REITSM37769 · approved 10 July 2026
- 14 January 2027 – 7 January 2030FORTRAN TRAFFIC SYSTEMS LIMITEDSM37703 · approved 9 July 2026
- 21 January 2027 – 1 February 20301001696926 Ontario LimitedSM37845 · approved 10 August 2026
- 29 January 2027 – 8 March 20301001696926 Ontario LimitedSM37963 · approved 30 September 2026
- 31 January 2027 – 11 February 20301001696926 Ontario LimitedSM37876 · approved 20 August 2026
- 6 July 2027 – 21 January 2031Toronto Regional Real Estate BoardSM24818 · approved 27 July 2017
- 21 July 2027 – 16 April 2030BUSPATROL AMERICA LLCSM36890 · approved 19 August 2025
- 18 September 2027 – 26 November 2030The Get Go IncSM27057 · approved 12 December 2018
- 15 October 2027 – 15 July 20313M Canada CompanySM34677 · approved 28 July 2023
- 11 November 2027 – 18 July 2030FORTRAN TRAFFIC SYSTEMS LIMITEDSM37280 · approved 5 January 2026
- 14 February 2028 – 27 April 2031FORTRAN TRAFFIC SYSTEMS LIMITEDSM33334 · approved 7 June 2022
- No window yet3M Canada CompanySM16527 · approved 2 June 2011
Data table· 12 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37769 Discuss issues related to traffic control signals and traffic regulations at 629, 633 and 675 Eastern Avenue. | SmartCentres REIT | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 10 July 2026 | 6 January 2027 to 5 January 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=27) |
| SM37703 To discuss the Traffic Management tools Fortran Traffic Systems can provide. | FORTRAN TRAFFIC SYSTEMS LIMITED | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 9 July 2026 | 14 January 2027 to 7 January 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=26) |
| SM37845 To engage with City of Toronto officials regarding the evaluation, procurement, and implementation of ARGUS RoadWatch™ and the ELDIGE™ Traffic Intelligence Platform to support road safety, traffic management, and intelli | 1001696926 Ontario Limited | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 10 August 2026 | 21 January 2027 to 1 February 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=28) |
| SM37963 To engage with City of Toronto officials regarding the evaluation, procurement, and implementation of ARGUS RoadWatch and the ELDIGE Traffic Intelligence Platform to support road safety, traffic management, and intellige | 1001696926 Ontario Limited | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 30 September 2026 | 29 January 2027 to 8 March 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=33) |
| SM37876 To engage with City of Toronto officials regarding the evaluation, procurement, and implementation of ARGUS RoadWatchTM and the ELDIGETM Traffic Intelligence Platform to support road safety, traffic management, and intel | 1001696926 Ontario Limited | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 20 August 2026 | 31 January 2027 to 11 February 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=28) |
| SM24818 Installation of a traffic light at the intersection of Don Mills Road and Kern Road | Toronto Regional Real Estate Board | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 27 July 2017 | 6 July 2027 to 21 January 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=48) |
| SM36890 Looking to introduce bus patrol to the City of Toronto and potentially bring them on board as a long term service provider | BUSPATROL AMERICA LLC | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 19 August 2025 | 21 July 2027 to 16 April 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=14) |
| SM27057 Introducing Video/Radar detection cameras for vehicles, cyclists, pedestrian, Travel Time System, Radio Communication Units and Security Switches, emergency pre-emption vehicle and transit priority system to City of Toro | The Get Go Inc | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 12 December 2018 | 18 September 2027 to 26 November 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=74) |
| SM34677 to discuss and promote 3M technologies and applications that can be utilized to enhance worker and workplace safety. | 3M Canada Company | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 28 July 2023 | 15 October 2027 to 15 July 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=282) |
| SM37280 Automatic Enforcement (Bus and Bike Lanes) | FORTRAN TRAFFIC SYSTEMS LIMITED | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 5 January 2026 | 11 November 2027 to 18 July 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=15) |
| SM33334 Vehicle and Bike Detection | FORTRAN TRAFFIC SYSTEMS LIMITED | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 7 June 2022 | 14 February 2028 to 27 April 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=207) |
| SM16527 to discuss and promote 3M technologies to improve traffic management and enhance road user safety. | 3M Canada Company | Traffic safety and enforcement cameras | 2 June 2011 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.