Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Roads, bridges and expressways
All topics →- 20 February 2027 – 2 June 2030The Cadillac Fairview Corporation LimitedSM37743 · approved 25 June 2026
- 28 April 2027 – 17 September 2030Concrete Masonry and Hardscapes AssociationSM23737 · approved 22 November 2016
- 29 May 2027 – 29 January 2030Lanterra DevelopmentsSM21773 · approved 8 May 2015
- 30 June 2027 – 12 August 2031Ontario Road Builders' AssociationSM37182 · approved 26 November 2025
- 13 August 2027 – 21 July 2030MEDA LimitedSM26441 · approved 5 July 2018
- 21 August 2027 – 14 December 2029Lanterra DevelopmentsSM21280 · approved 15 January 2015
- 26 August 2027 – 22 September 2031Dura Concrete Canada IncorporatedSM36158 · approved 28 November 2024
- 30 August 2027 – 5 June 2030AtkinsRéalisSM29597 · approved 10 January 2020
- 2 September 2027 – 10 November 2030Aecon Group Inc.SM27078 · approved 26 November 2018
- 5 September 2027 – 13 November 2031R. J. Watson, Inc.SM36710 · approved 13 June 2025
- 13 October 2027 – 1 October 2031Vector Corrosion Technologies Ltd.SM35778 · approved 24 July 2024
- 18 October 2027 – 6 October 2031Concrete Masonry and Hardscapes AssociationSM35794 · approved 29 July 2024
12 of 15 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 15 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37743 City of Toronto's Transportation Department regarding the Toronto Eaton Centre Details: An application for a partial road closure | The Cadillac Fairview Corporation Limited | Roads, bridges and expressways | 25 June 2026 | 20 February 2027 to 2 June 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=929) |
| SM23737 Interlocking concrete pavers use, installation and maintenance. CMHA is the Trade Association for the interlocking pavement industry and is dedicated to delivering education and technical guidance leading to awareness, a | Concrete Masonry and Hardscapes Association | Roads, bridges and expressways | 22 November 2016 | 28 April 2027 to 17 September 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=37) |
| SM21773 16 York Street - PATH Tunnel under York Street to 15 York Street | Lanterra Developments | Roads, bridges and expressways | 8 May 2015 | 29 May 2027 to 29 January 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=22) |
| SM37182 Communicating with government officials about issues related to road building and maintenance, including road specifications and standards, such as those that apply to asphalt for roads. | Ontario Road Builders' Association | Roads, bridges and expressways | 26 November 2025 | 30 June 2027 to 12 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=609) |
| SM26441 Discussions with Engineers, road supervisors and technicians regarding the use the use of a replacement material for steel in concrete especially in the repair and rehabilitation of concrete structures and roads, asphalt | MEDA Limited | Roads, bridges and expressways | 5 July 2018 | 13 August 2027 to 21 July 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=65) |
| SM21280 15 York Street - Encroachment Agreement re: Bremner Bridge - PATH connection. | Lanterra Developments | Roads, bridges and expressways | 15 January 2015 | 21 August 2027 to 14 December 2029 from all topics' lead times (n=20) |
| SM36158 Promote ultra high performance concrete in bridge construction | Dura Concrete Canada Incorporated | Roads, bridges and expressways | 28 November 2024 | 26 August 2027 to 22 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=423) |
| SM29597 Interested in building good mutually valued relationships with city staff;sharing our expertise/experience with you in support of interest in market sounding/intelligence gathering;providing our feedback re work we've co | AtkinsRéalis | Roads, bridges and expressways | 10 January 2020 | 30 August 2027 to 5 June 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=111) |
| SM27078 Pertaining to potential transit and transportation infrastructure (bridges, roads, etc.) projects throughout Toronto | Aecon Group Inc. | Roads, bridges and expressways | 26 November 2018 | 2 September 2027 to 10 November 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=74) |
| SM36710 The use of high load multirotational disc bearings, and seismic isolation devices for highway and rail bridges. The use of bridge expansion joints for highway and rail bridges. | R. J. Watson, Inc. | Roads, bridges and expressways | 13 June 2025 | 5 September 2027 to 13 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=497) |
| SM35778 infrastructure sustainability | Vector Corrosion Technologies Ltd. | Roads, bridges and expressways | 24 July 2024 | 13 October 2027 to 1 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=375) |
| SM35794 Interlocking concrete pavers and segmental retaining wall installation, use and maintenance. RE-SM23977 | Concrete Masonry and Hardscapes Association | Roads, bridges and expressways | 29 July 2024 | 18 October 2027 to 6 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=375) |
| SM35871 Discussing transportation projects in the City of Toronto. | Aecon Construction Group Inc. | Roads, bridges and expressways | 29 August 2024 | 20 October 2027 to 8 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=383) |
| SM35966 Transportation matters adjacent to the Ontario Food Terminal, 165 The Queensway. Matters include but are not limited to road work, Gardiner access, and cycling infrastructure. | Toronto Wholesale Food Producers | Roads, bridges and expressways | 24 September 2024 | 23 October 2027 to 17 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=390) |
| SM32414 Underpass Finch Ave E and Kennedy MCR PLanning Process | NAMF | Roads, bridges and expressways | 19 October 2021 | 2 November 2027 to 14 January 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=185) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.