Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: City-owned real estate and leases
All topics →- 8 February 2027 – 17 November 2032Tripllie RE LPSM37723 · approved 18 June 2026
- 13 February 2027 – 8 October 2032Ambu Energy Inc.SM37622 · approved 8 May 2026
- 17 February 2027 – 12 January 2033Eric M. Shelton Consulting Services Inc.SM37858 · approved 13 August 2026
- 23 February 2027 – 2 December 2032Giardina Lee & AssociatesSM37756 · approved 3 July 2026
- 25 February 2027 – 9 February 2033Eric M. Shelton Consulting Services Inc.SM37920 · approved 10 September 2026
- 25 February 2027 – 9 February 2033Wabasha Projects Inc.SM37921 · approved 10 September 2026
- 17 July 2027 – 28 October 2030Steven KirshenblattSM28292 · approved 4 June 2019
- 22 July 2027 – 8 September 2030QuadReal Real Property Group Limited PartnershipSM30209 · approved 11 June 2020
- 23 July 2027 – 6 September 2030Oulahen Team Realty Inc.SM27867 · approved 13 March 2019
- 20 December 2029 – 24 March 2032Emblem DevelopmentsSM36727 · approved 17 June 2025
- 4 January 2030 – 6 January 2031Ontario Tennis AssociationSM35111 · approved 10 January 2024
- 23 February 2030 – 28 May 2032P1 Consulting IncSM36903 · approved 21 August 2025
12 of 14 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 14 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37723 Client is looking to develop two abutting properties at 885 and 877 Lawrence Avenue East in Toronto. As part of the development, there is a desire to purchase an easement from the City that runs through the property. | Tripllie RE LP | City-owned real estate and leases | 18 June 2026 | 8 February 2027 to 17 November 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=20) |
| SM37622 Creating new revenue streams for the City by leveraging existing business conditions at TTC, Toronto Parking Authority and other City-owned real estate assets. | Ambu Energy Inc. | City-owned real estate and leases | 8 May 2026 | 13 February 2027 to 8 October 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=19) |
| SM37858 General discussion/offering of Indigenous business to help achieve capital spend targets | Eric M. Shelton Consulting Services Inc. | City-owned real estate and leases | 13 August 2026 | 17 February 2027 to 12 January 2033 from this topic's lead times (n=21) |
| SM37756 Purchase of city owned land(s) by Mississaugas of the Credit First Nation, in particular, the 3.09 acre parcel located on 123 Queen St W, Toronto, ON M5H 2M9 | Giardina Lee & Associates | City-owned real estate and leases | 3 July 2026 | 23 February 2027 to 2 December 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=20) |
| SM37920 General discussion/offering of Indigenous business to help achieve capital spend targets, specifically with EMS Advisors and Wabasha Projects Inc. | Eric M. Shelton Consulting Services Inc. | City-owned real estate and leases | 10 September 2026 | 25 February 2027 to 9 February 2033 from this topic's lead times (n=22) |
| SM37921 General discussion/offering of Indigenous business to help achieve capital spend targets | Wabasha Projects Inc. | City-owned real estate and leases | 10 September 2026 | 25 February 2027 to 9 February 2033 from this topic's lead times (n=22) |
| SM28292 838-844 Broadview avenue | Steven Kirshenblatt | City-owned real estate and leases | 4 June 2019 | 17 July 2027 to 28 October 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=89) |
| SM30209 Planning development approval and land lease for 11 Bay Street | QuadReal Real Property Group Limited Partnership | City-owned real estate and leases | 11 June 2020 | 22 July 2027 to 8 September 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=127) |
| SM27867 Outstanding legal issues with the City of Toronto regarding the expropriation of 8, 12, 14, 16, 20, 22 and 24 Bonnington Place and 49 Sheppard Avenue East | Oulahen Team Realty Inc. | City-owned real estate and leases | 13 March 2019 | 23 July 2027 to 6 September 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=84) |
| SM36727 Discussions pertaining to City development at 931 Yonge St | Emblem Developments | City-owned real estate and leases | 17 June 2025 | 20 December 2029 to 24 March 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=13) |
| SM35111 We are lobbying for the OTA Tennis Centre project to be built by the OTA on a 3 acre site leased from the City of Toronto in the Allen East District for Municipal Capital Facility (MCF) Status and all Corporate Rights Fe | Ontario Tennis Association | City-owned real estate and leases | 10 January 2024 | 4 January 2030 to 6 January 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=11) |
| SM36903 Sharing industry practices on sustainability | P1 Consulting Inc | City-owned real estate and leases | 21 August 2025 | 23 February 2030 to 28 May 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=13) |
| SM37140 Future use of property located at 49 Bathurst Street | Lipson & Doran Group | City-owned real estate and leases | 13 November 2025 | 18 May 2030 to 20 August 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=13) |
| SM35796 This is in regard to the City-owned property at 44 Avondale Avenue and it's possible surplus declaration and circulation. | 1000781695 Ontario INC | City-owned real estate and leases | 1 August 2024 | 27 July 2030 to 29 July 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=11) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.