Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: City budget and taxes
All topics →- 31 December 2026 – 13 August 2032Fairgrounds IncSM37498 · approved 17 March 2026
- 18 February 2027 – 22 September 2032Fairgrounds IncSM37742 · approved 23 June 2026
- 12 March 2027 – 5 September 2032Canadian Federation of Independent BusinessSM37815 · approved 27 July 2026
- 24 March 2027 – 1 December 2032GHD Inc.SM37478 · approved 12 March 2026
- 21 October 2027 – 17 August 2032Retail Council of CanadaSM36826 · approved 29 July 2025
- 1 December 2027 – 27 September 2032asdfsSM36940 · approved 8 September 2025
- 12 January 2028 – 8 November 2032Building Industry and Land Development AssociationSM37071 · approved 20 October 2025
- No window yetBuilding Industry and Land Development AssociationSM15856 · approved 13 May 2011
Data table· 8 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37498 Engaged to explore property tax and property classification issue for temporary uses, specifically with 8 Rosehill Drive development. | Fairgrounds Inc | City budget and taxes | 17 March 2026 | 31 December 2026 to 13 August 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=20) |
| SM37742 Speak with public office holders about how property tax rules disincentivize interim use of construction sites and potential solutions to provide community recreation opportunities. | Fairgrounds Inc | City budget and taxes | 23 June 2026 | 18 February 2027 to 22 September 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=21) |
| SM37815 CFIB Municipal Report Card that grades municipalities on cost burden, regulatory burden and small business friendliness. | Canadian Federation of Independent Business | City budget and taxes | 27 July 2026 | 12 March 2027 to 5 September 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=22) |
| SM37478 To discuss how GHD Ltd. can help enhance capital coordination that includes the integration of a longer-term portfolio-wide view with the current capital coordination process. | GHD Inc. | City budget and taxes | 12 March 2026 | 24 March 2027 to 1 December 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=18) |
| SM36826 Routine conversations with City of Toronto advancing retail interests | Retail Council of Canada | City budget and taxes | 29 July 2025 | 21 October 2027 to 17 August 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=13) |
| SM36940 test | asdfs | City budget and taxes | 8 September 2025 | 1 December 2027 to 27 September 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=13) |
| SM37071 Vacant Home Tax - Extension of the exemption of inventory new development units | Building Industry and Land Development Association | City budget and taxes | 20 October 2025 | 12 January 2028 to 8 November 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=13) |
| SM15856 Land Transfer Tax | Building Industry and Land Development Association | City budget and taxes | 13 May 2011 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.