Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Affordable housing programs
All topics →- 18 December 2026 – 12 January 2029Big Turtle HomesSM37976 · approved 6 October 2026
- 25 March 2027 – 9 October 2030Mygold Inc.SM37495 · approved 17 March 2026
- 20 April 2027 – 23 September 2030ITC Projects ON Inc.SM37394 · approved 24 February 2026
- 28 April 2027 – 14 September 2029Greenwin Inc.SM34538 · approved 2 June 2023
- 15 July 2027 – 29 August 2030Greenwin Inc.SM27794 · approved 5 March 2019
- 26 July 2027 – 5 September 2030Greenwin Inc.SM27957 · approved 3 April 2019
- 24 November 2027 – 17 September 2029Colliers Project LeadersSM35241 · approved 23 January 2024
- 30 November 2027 – 13 February 2031Gerrard Greenwood South East Holdings Ltd. PartnershipSM32320 · approved 9 September 2021
- 27 December 2027 – 25 July 2030Little Jamaica Community Land TrustSM37031 · approved 8 October 2025
- 1 February 2028 – 27 October 2029Fero International Inc.SM36042 · approved 21 October 2024
- 18 March 2028 – 12 December 2029Building Industry and Land Development AssociationSM36174 · approved 6 December 2024
- 26 May 2028 – 19 February 2030TASSM36347 · approved 13 February 2025
12 of 13 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 13 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37976 To discuss modular manufactured additional residential units, microshelters, emergency response centres and innovative modular housing designed for permanent, semi-permanent, and transitional living needs and how that ca | Big Turtle Homes | Affordable housing programs | 6 October 2026 | 18 December 2026 to 12 January 2029 from this topic's lead times (n=74) |
| SM37495 Taxation, Property Tax – Amendment to Chapter 767: Affordable ADU Property Tax Exemption Program. Proposed Legislative Action: Amend above Code to establish a 25-year affordable ADUs tax break for RGI and surpasses 80% A | Mygold Inc. | Affordable housing programs | 17 March 2026 | 25 March 2027 to 9 October 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=33) |
| SM37394 Understanding City of Toronto priorities and projects leading to new housing supply including affordable housing projects. General discussion only. No particular development(s) will be lobbied on. | ITC Projects ON Inc. | Affordable housing programs | 24 February 2026 | 20 April 2027 to 23 September 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=30) |
| SM34538 950 King Street West | Greenwin Inc. | Affordable housing programs | 2 June 2023 | 28 April 2027 to 14 September 2029 from this topic's lead times (n=15) |
| SM27794 1750 Ellesmere Road | Greenwin Inc. | Affordable housing programs | 5 March 2019 | 15 July 2027 to 29 August 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=84) |
| SM27957 Development Bond for affordable housing | Greenwin Inc. | Affordable housing programs | 3 April 2019 | 26 July 2027 to 5 September 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=85) |
| SM35241 Conversations around Toronto's housing strategy and potential solutions | Colliers Project Leaders | Affordable housing programs | 23 January 2024 | 24 November 2027 to 17 September 2029 from this topic's lead times (n=16) |
| SM32320 Redevelopment of properties located at 1291-1305 Gerrard Street East for new rental development including Affordable Housing | Gerrard Greenwood South East Holdings Ltd. Partnership | Affordable housing programs | 9 September 2021 | 30 November 2027 to 13 February 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=176) |
| SM37031 Seeking insight and advice regarding the process of community-led property acquisition by the Little Jamaica Community Land Trust within the Little Jamaica community. | Little Jamaica Community Land Trust | Affordable housing programs | 8 October 2025 | 27 December 2027 to 25 July 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=26) |
| SM36042 Participating in discussions about housing at (and in follow-up to) the Modular Roundtable (October 22, 2024) organized by Councilor Brad Bradford, more specifically about modular construction and rapid-build technologie | Fero International Inc. | Affordable housing programs | 21 October 2024 | 1 February 2028 to 27 October 2029 from this topic's lead times (n=20) |
| SM36174 Office Space Needs Study | Building Industry and Land Development Association | Affordable housing programs | 6 December 2024 | 18 March 2028 to 12 December 2029 from this topic's lead times (n=20) |
| SM36347 38 Walmer Road, Toronto, ON Our housing projects and light industrial/community hub projects are located in the City of Toronto. There are ongoing matters that come up during the year. | TAS | Affordable housing programs | 13 February 2025 | 26 May 2028 to 19 February 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=20) |
| SM36612 2933 Sheppard Avenue East, Scarborough, ON M1T 0B1 | Times Group Corporation | Affordable housing programs | 8 May 2025 | 18 August 2028 to 14 May 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=20) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.