Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 0
- 0% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 0
- Registrations with a published link
2,066 open registrations without a linked item; 0 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 0 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 20 rows
| Month | Topic | New registrations | Previous 12-month average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | City fleet and electric vehicle charging | 3 | 0.5 |
| 2026-08 | Minor variances and consents (Committee of Adjustment) | 5 | 0.6 |
| 2026-08 | Rental housing demolition and conversion | 3 | 0.0 |
| 2026-08 | City-owned real estate and leases | 3 | 0.8 |
| 2026-07 | Long-term care and seniors' services | 6 | 1.2 |
| 2026-06 | Long-term care and seniors' services | 4 | 0.9 |
| 2026-04 | Energy supply and utilities | 6 | 2.0 |
| 2026-03 | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 6 | 0.8 |
| 2026-02 | Enterprise software and IT services | 8 | 2.0 |
| 2026-02 | Business improvement areas and main streets | 3 | 0.9 |
| 2026-01 | Rezoning and zoning by-law amendments | 25 | 10.2 |
| 2026-01 | Cycling, bike share and e-scooters | 3 | 0.4 |
| 2025-11 | Building permits and inspection | 8 | 1.8 |
| 2025-11 | Garbage, recycling and organics | 3 | 0.5 |
| 2025-11 | Parks, recreation and trees | 3 | 0.6 |
| 2025-11 | Child care | 3 | 0.4 |
| 2025-10 | Procurement of goods and equipment | 14 | 6.0 |
| 2025-10 | TTC operations and service | 6 | 1.2 |
| 2025-10 | Grants and funding requests | 4 | 0.3 |
| 2025-10 | Building permits and inspection | 4 | 1.5 |
Open registrations: Heritage designation and conservation
All topics →- No window yetFora DevelopmentsSM37865 · approved 17 August 2026
- No window yet2427928 Ontario Inc.SM37763 · approved 7 July 2026
- No window yetJarvis Mansions (Toronto) LimitedSM37627 · approved 13 May 2026
- No window yetFarhi Holdings CorporationSM37628 · approved 13 May 2026
- No window yetBuilding Industry and Land Development AssociationSM37587 · approved 22 April 2026
- No window yet509 Parliament Inc.SM37436 · approved 25 February 2026
- No window yetConcord AdexSM35192 · approved 5 January 2024
- No window yetCartareal Corporation NVSM33957 · approved 7 December 2022
- No window yetAlterra Developments 2000 LimitedSM32920 · approved 9 February 2022
- No window yetHullmark Developments LimitedSM32006 · approved 6 July 2021
- No window yetBentallGreenOak (Canada) Limited PartnershipSM29735 · approved 19 February 2020
- No window yetBentallGreenOakSM29754 · approved 11 February 2020
12 of 13 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 13 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37865 15-17 Elm St Toronto, ON M5G 1H1, Canada | Fora Developments | Heritage designation and conservation | 17 August 2026 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM37763 Communications regarding the proposed heritage designation for 2, 4, and 10 Hedgewood Road, and development of the properties. | 2427928 Ontario Inc. | Heritage designation and conservation | 7 July 2026 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM37627 Seeking guidance, comments and feedback for a development application at 515-519 Jarvis St. | Jarvis Mansions (Toronto) Limited | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 13 May 2026 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM37628 Potential planning applications for 515-519 Jarvis Street | Farhi Holdings Corporation | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 13 May 2026 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM37587 Heritage Preservation and Demolition Practices and Policies | Building Industry and Land Development Association | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 22 April 2026 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM37436 Planning and Development regarding 509 Parliament Ave, Toronto | 509 Parliament Inc. | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 25 February 2026 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM35192 Yonge/Hayden - 399 Yonge Street, Toronto | Concord Adex | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 5 January 2024 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM33957 An application for rezoning of 505 University Avenue was filed with the City of Toronto in August of 2022 to construct a new 64-storey mixed-use tower containing 704 new dwelling units, a total of 46,683 sq. m. of reside | Cartareal Corporation NV | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 7 December 2022 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM32920 Pursuing development approvals and building permits of 50-64 Merton Street | Alterra Developments 2000 Limited | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 9 February 2022 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM32006 147 Spadina Ave - Proposed mixed-use development application, King-Spadina Secondary Plan and Heritage Conservation District | Hullmark Developments Limited | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 6 July 2021 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM29735 Matters relating to planning and development applications for 25 Liberty Street, Toronto, Ontario | BentallGreenOak (Canada) Limited Partnership | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 19 February 2020 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM29754 Matters relating to planning and development applications for 25 Liberty Street, Toronto, Ontario, M6K 1A6. | BentallGreenOak | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 11 February 2020 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM29030 Rezoning application at 140 Yorkville Avenue and 33 Avenue Road. | First capital Realty | Heritage designation and conservation (from registry category) | 31 October 2019 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
How well the window has worked
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.